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AS Gabes vs Olympique Beja Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 Gabes Municipal Stadium, Gabes
AS Gabes Logo

AS Gabes

1 - 0
FT
Olympique Beja Logo

Olympique Beja

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jmal H.
52'
Jmal H.
57'
Sub
Cherni B. In: Ishimwe A.
Out: Cherni B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between AS Gabes and Olympique Beja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Gabes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
AS Gabes
35%
Draws
49%
Olympique Beja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olympique Beja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Olympique Beja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olympique Beja a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
AS Gabes Clean Sheet 21%
Olympique Beja Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Gabes Olympique Beja
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 10
Draws 8 5
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.4 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Olympique Beja
1:0
Aug 15, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs AS Gabes
0:0
Feb 2, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Gabes vs Olympique Beja
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Olympique Beja vs AS Gabes
1:0
Jun 3, 2020 Ligue 2
AS Gabes vs Olympique Beja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Gabes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jmal H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Olympique Beja Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Gabes 29 / 100
Olympique Beja 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Gabes Olympique Beja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympique Beja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olympique Beja conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

AS Gabes found the back of the net in 37% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AS Gabes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Gabes VS Olympique Beja
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Gabes

(Home)
03 Oct
Sfax Railways
0 : 0
AS Gabes
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
13 May
AS Gabes
0 : 1
Stade Tunisien
08 May
Soliman
1 : 0
AS Gabes
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 6

Olympique Beja

(Away)
13 Sept
Olympique Beja
1 : 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier
05 Sept
CA Bizertin
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
30 Aug
Olympique Beja
1 : 2
Ben Guerdane
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0
Olympique Beja
14 May
Club Africain
1 : 1
Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)