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AS Garde Nationale vs Olympic Niamey

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS Garde Nationale and Olympic Niamey finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AS Garde Nationale
28%
Draws
22%
Olympic Niamey
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Garde Nationale come out ahead of Olympic Niamey on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on AS Garde Nationale taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AS Garde Nationale here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 68%
Olympic Niamey Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Olympic Niamey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super Ligue
Olympic Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
2:2
Jan 11, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Olympic Niamey
1:0
Apr 12, 2025 Super Ligue
Olympic Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Olympic Niamey
1:0
May 30, 2024 Super Ligue
Olympic Niamey vs AS Garde Nationale
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 59 / 100
Olympic Niamey 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Olympic Niamey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olympic Niamey has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

AS Garde Nationale scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: AS Garde Nationale remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Olympic Niamey
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%