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AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour

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Super Ligue
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AI Match Summary

The Super Ligue game between AS Garde Nationale and Tagour finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Garde Nationale.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AS Garde Nationale
30%
Draws
23%
Tagour
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Garde Nationale

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Garde Nationale carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AS Garde Nationale's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super Ligue form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
AS Garde Nationale Clean Sheet 20%
Tagour Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Garde Nationale Tagour
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 12 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:0
May 5, 2026 Super Ligue
Tagour vs AS Garde Nationale
0:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:2
May 1, 2024 Super Ligue
Tagour vs AS Garde Nationale
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Super Ligue
AS Garde Nationale vs Tagour
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Garde Nationale 85 / 100
Tagour 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Garde Nationale Tagour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Garde Nationale Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tagour conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: AS Garde Nationale scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AS Garde Nationale went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Garde Nationale VS Tagour
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Garde Nationale

(Home)
22 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
3 : 1
Niima
19 Sept
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
06 Sept
JS Tahoua
0 : 0
AS Garde Nationale
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
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Tagour

(Away)
03 Oct
Police
0 : 1
Tagour
26 Sept
Sahel
3 : 1
Tagour
23 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 0
Tagour
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
11 Sept
AS Garde Nationale
2 : 0
Tagour
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 4 4 0 0 8:0 12
2 Sahel 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
3 ASFAN 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 AS Garde Nationale 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
5 Urana 4 2 1 1 4:6 7
6 Police 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
7 Wombeye 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
8 AS UAM 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
9 Douanes Niamey 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
10 Liberte 4 1 2 1 1:3 5
11 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
12 Niima 4 0 3 1 3:5 3
13 JS Tahoua 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 AS ZAM 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
15 Nigelec 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
16 Espoir 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)