Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Kigali vs Gorilla

Rwanda Rwanda

Peace Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AS Kigali
20%
Draws
46%
Gorilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gorilla lately — more wins on the board than AS Kigali.
  • Model gives Gorilla a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Gorilla arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AS Kigali Clean Sheet 19%
Gorilla Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Kigali Gorilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.87 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
2:1
Mar 18, 2026 Peace Cup
AS Kigali vs Gorilla
2:2
Mar 11, 2026 Peace Cup
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
0:0
Oct 3, 2025 Premier League
AS Kigali vs Gorilla
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Gorilla vs AS Kigali
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Kigali 28 / 100
Gorilla 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Kigali Gorilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Kigali found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Gorilla's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AS Kigali went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Kigali VS Gorilla
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Kigali

(Home)
30 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Musanze
22 May
Rutsiro
2 : 1
AS Kigali
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
10 May
APR
2 : 1
AS Kigali
06 May
Gorilla
2 : 1
AS Kigali
Page 1 of 6

Gorilla

(Away)
31 May
Gorilla
3 : 1
Al-Merreikh
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
22 May
Etincelles
1 : 6
Gorilla
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
12 May
Rayon Sport
0 : 0
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bugesera 1
Etincelles 2
Gasogi United 1
APR 4
Gorilla 2
AS Kigali 2
Police 0
Rayon Sport 1
Semi-finals
Etincelles 2
APR 6
Gorilla 1
Rayon Sport 1
Final
APR 2
Rayon Sport 1
Etincelles 1
Gorilla 6