Sport Picks
AS Maniema vs Bukavu Dawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
DR Congo
Ligue 1 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Maniema
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to AS Maniema lately — more wins on the board than Bukavu Dawa.
- AS Maniema are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 20%
Bukavu Dawa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Maniema | Bukavu Dawa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 17 | 2 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs AS Maniema
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Apr 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs AS Maniema
0:0
Feb 5, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Bukavu Dawa
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ligue 1
Bukavu Dawa vs AS Maniema
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Maniema 85 / 100
Bukavu Dawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Maniema Bukavu Dawa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bukavu Dawa let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.
AS Maniema scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Solid form: AS Maniema remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
AS Maniema VS Bukavu Dawa
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Maniema
(Home) 20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1 AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1 Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3 AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2 AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1 Mazembe
Page 1 of 7
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1 Aigles du Congo
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1 Mazembe
03 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 0 Don Bosco
25 May
AS Maniema
1 : 0 St Eloi Lupopo
16 May
AS Maniema
0 : 1 AS Vita Club
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Bukavu Dawa
(Away) 14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
09 Apr
Bukavu Dawa
0 : 0 AS Maniema
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
18 Mar
Bukavu Dawa
1 : 1 FC MK Etancheite
Page 1 of 6
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
02 Apr
Aigles du Congo
1 : 1 Bukavu Dawa
21 Mar
FC Renaissance
3 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
07 Mar
AS Vita Club
1 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
28 Jan
OC Renaissance
0 : 0 Bukavu Dawa
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazembe | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 57:12 | 73 |
| 2 | St Eloi Lupopo | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 55:27 | 63 |
| 3 | Don Bosco | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:24 | 56 |
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 50 |
| 5 | Manika | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 31:20 | 48 |
| 6 | Tanganyika | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 38:32 | 44 |
| 7 | Lubumbashi Sport | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 8 | Blessing | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33:31 | 40 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Saint-Luc | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 21:33 | 35 |
| 11 | Malole | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 12 | New Soger | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 29:40 | 33 |
| 13 | Tshinkunku | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 23:41 | 31 |
| 14 | Groupe Bazano | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26:38 | 30 |
| 15 | Tshikas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25:40 | 28 |
| 16 | US Panda | 30 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 17:59 | 16 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Maniema | 27 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 38:10 | 52 |
| 2 | AS Vita Club | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 35:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Aigles du Congo | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 32:16 | 48 |
| 4 | Dauphins Noirs | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:20 | 45 |
| 5 | Celeste | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:13 | 44 |
| 6 | Etoile de Kivu | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:35 | 36 |
| 7 | Motema Pembe | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 33:25 | 35 |
| 8 | Anges Verts | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 26:32 | 29 |
| 9 | New Jack | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 20:26 | 29 |
| 10 | AC Rangers | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 21:35 | 29 |
| 11 | FC MK Etancheite | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:35 | 26 |
| 12 | FC Renaissance | 27 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 21:40 | 25 |
| 13 | OC Renaissance | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14:33 | 22 |
| 14 | Bukavu Dawa | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 10:37 | 14 |
| 15 | Martin Pecheur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
