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AS Maniema vs Celeste - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AS Maniema and Celeste finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Maniema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AS Maniema
35%
Draws
15%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Maniema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Maniema come out ahead of Celeste on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on AS Maniema taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Maniema Celeste
Matches Played 36 33
Wins 18 10
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs AS Maniema
1:3
May 5, 2026 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Celeste
1:0
Apr 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Celeste vs AS Maniema
0:0
Dec 16, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Celeste
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs Celeste
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Maniema 85 / 100
Celeste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Maniema Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Maniema found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (36 games).

Celeste's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: AS Maniema stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AS Maniema VS Celeste
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Maniema

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
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Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 14 9 3 2 25:7 30
2 Aigles du Congo 14 8 5 1 21:10 29
3 AS Maniema 14 7 2 5 16:16 23
4 AS Vita Club 14 5 4 5 11:12 19
5 St Eloi Lupopo 14 4 6 4 11:9 18
6 Don Bosco 14 4 5 5 13:17 17
7 Simba 14 2 5 7 9:18 11
8 Celeste 14 0 4 10 8:25 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)