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AS Maniema vs New Jack

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Wed, Mar 4, 2026
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Maniema host New Jack in the Ligue 1. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. New Jack have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while AS Maniema have conceded 0.68 and scored 1.39. Head-to-head, AS Maniema have won 3 to New Jack's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 0.63) point toward AS Maniema. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AS Maniema
35%
Draws
24%
New Jack
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Maniema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AS Maniema come out ahead of New Jack on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans AS Maniema's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 20%
New Jack Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Maniema New Jack
Matches Played 44 29
Wins 23 6
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.39 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs New Jack
3:0
Dec 9, 2025 Ligue 1
New Jack vs AS Maniema
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs New Jack
3:0
Oct 5, 2024 Ligue 1
New Jack vs AS Maniema
0:2
Sep 18, 2024 Ligue 1
AS Maniema vs New Jack
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Maniema 85 / 100
New Jack 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Maniema New Jack

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Maniema Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Maniema scored in 73% of their last 44 outings.

New Jack's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AS Maniema remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Maniema VS New Jack
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Maniema

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 9

New Jack

(Away)
18 Apr
Anges Verts
0 : 0
New Jack
14 Apr
New Jack
1 : 1
Bukavu Dawa
01 Apr
New Jack
1 : 2
AS Vita Club
27 Mar
New Jack
2 : 2
OC Renaissance
08 Mar
New Jack
1 : 0
Aigles du Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)