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Stadium Background

AS Maniema vs USM Alger

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Pitroipa C.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Likonza G. In: Benzaza B.
Out: Likonza G.
46'
Sub
Kamagate D. In: Bouderbala M.
Out: Kamagate D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with AS Maniema advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AS Maniema
22%
Draws
18%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: AS Maniema

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • USM Alger haven't matched AS Maniema's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on AS Maniema taking it.
  • AS Maniema have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Maniema, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
AS Maniema Clean Sheet 68%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Maniema USM Alger
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:0
Mar 15, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:1
Mar 18, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs AS Maniema
1:1
Mar 7, 2018 CAF Confederation Cup
AS Maniema vs USM Alger
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Maniema Compare

Top Goalscorer Moanda E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

USM Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Maniema 68 / 100
USM Alger 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Maniema USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Maniema's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

USM Alger has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

AS Maniema has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Maniema VS USM Alger
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Maniema

(Home)
20 Jun
Simba
2 : 1
AS Maniema
17 Jun
AS Maniema
1 : 1
Aigles du Congo
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
AS Vita Club
1 : 2
AS Maniema
07 Jun
AS Maniema
2 : 1
Mazembe
Page 1 of 7

USM Alger

(Away)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema2
USM Alger2
Olympique de Safi3
Wydad Athletic3
Al Masry1
CR Belouizdad1
Otoho d'Oyo2
Zamalek3
Semi-finals
USM Alger1
Olympique de Safi1
CR Belouizdad0
Zamalek1
Final
USM Alger2
Zamalek1