Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Karoui N.
46'
46'
Sub
Victorino Polaco In: Dao Y.
Out: Victorino Polaco
46'
46'
Sub
Msallem H. In: Adejoh O.
Out: Msallem H.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 game between AS Marsa and CS Sfaxien finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CS Sfaxien.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CS Sfaxien
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CS Sfaxien carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- CS Sfaxien have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 17%
CS Sfaxien Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Marsa | CS Sfaxien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.06 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 0.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien
0:3
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs AS Marsa
2:0
Apr 19, 2024 Tunisia Cup
CS Sfaxien vs AS Marsa
0:1
Nov 5, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CS Sfaxien vs AS Marsa
3:0
Aug 27, 2023 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs CS Sfaxien
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Marsa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
CS Sfaxien Compare
Top Goalscorer Karoui N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ogbole E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Marsa 31 / 100
CS Sfaxien 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Marsa CS Sfaxien
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CS Sfaxien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
AS Marsa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
AS Marsa scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
CS Sfaxien let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
AS Marsa VS CS Sfaxien
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Marsa
(Home) 12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1 AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0 AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2 AS Marsa
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Etoile Sahel
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0 PS Sakiet Eddaier
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3 CS Sfaxien
30 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Zarzis
03 Apr
AS Marsa
1 : 0 Olympique Beja
Page 1 of 3
CS Sfaxien
(Away) 20 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0 CA Bizertin
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
13 Sept
CS Sfaxien
2 : 0 Shooting
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0 CS Sfaxien
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1 Zarzis
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
05 Sept
Shooting
1 : 0 CS Sfaxien
22 Aug
Stade Tunisien
1 : 1 CS Sfaxien
09 May
AS Marsa
0 : 3 CS Sfaxien
30 Apr
Esperance Tunis
0 : 0 CS Sfaxien
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Africain | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 43:10 | 66 |
| 2 | Esperance Tunis | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 45:11 | 63 |
| 3 | CS Sfaxien | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 44:13 | 62 |
| 4 | Stade Tunisien | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 28:14 | 48 |
| 5 | Monastir | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 28:19 | 45 |
| 6 | Zarzis | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 7 | Etoile Sahel | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 28:30 | 41 |
| 8 | Metlaoui | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 19:25 | 40 |
| 9 | Jeunesse Sportive | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 10 | Ben Guerdane | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 18:22 | 35 |
| 11 | AS Marsa | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 26:33 | 35 |
| 12 | CA Bizertin | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 18:29 | 33 |
| 13 | Olympique Beja | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 18:39 | 32 |
| 14 | JS Kairouan | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 20:41 | 31 |
| 15 | Soliman | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15:31 | 27 |
| 16 | AS Gabes | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 11:37 | 18 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
