Sport Picks

Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1

AS Marsa

2 - 1

Jeunesse Sportive

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Hammami S.

45'

Askri M.

45'

Askri M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue Professionnelle 1 game between AS Marsa and Jeunesse Sportive finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Marsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

AS Marsa

30%

Draws

34%

Jeunesse Sportive

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Marsa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

AS Marsa's 1.13 goals per match outpaces what Jeunesse Sportive have produced (0.75).
AS Marsa are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Regular Ligue Professionnelle 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%

AS Marsa Clean Sheet 68%

Jeunesse Sportive Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AS Marsa	Jeunesse Sportive
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	11	11
Draws	3	7
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1

Jeunesse Sportive vs AS Marsa

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 1

2:2

Nov 22, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1

AS Marsa vs Jeunesse Sportive

Possession: 46% - 58% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Adejoh O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Jeunesse Sportive Compare

Top Goalscorer Askri M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Marsa 46 / 100

Jeunesse Sportive 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AS Marsa Jeunesse Sportive

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Jeunesse Sportive has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

AS Marsa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Jeunesse Sportive has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Marsa VS Jeunesse Sportive

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75

38% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Club Africain	30	19	9	2	43:10	66
2	Esperance Tunis	30	18	9	3	45:11	63
3	CS Sfaxien	30	18	8	4	44:13	62
4	Stade Tunisien	30	12	12	6	28:14	48
5	Monastir	30	11	12	7	28:19	45
6	Zarzis	30	11	8	11	30:28	41
7	Etoile Sahel	30	11	8	11	28:30	41
8	Metlaoui	30	9	13	8	19:25	40
9	Jeunesse Sportive	30	10	6	14	24:33	36
10	Ben Guerdane	30	8	11	11	18:22	35
11	AS Marsa	30	11	2	17	26:33	35
12	CA Bizertin	30	8	9	13	18:29	33
13	Olympique Beja	30	9	5	16	18:39	32
14	JS Kairouan	30	9	4	17	20:41	31
15	Soliman	30	6	9	15	15:31	27
16	AS Gabes	30	3	9	18	11:37	18