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AS Marsa vs JS Kairouan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026
AS Marsa Logo

AS Marsa

1 - 2
FT
JS Kairouan Logo

JS Kairouan

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Camara M.
44' Event
Azib Y.
45'
Jebali O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

JS Kairouan in this Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored JS Kairouan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Marsa
20%
Draws
52%
JS Kairouan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: JS Kairouan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Marsa have won more games recently than JS Kairouan.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on JS Kairouan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
AS Marsa Clean Sheet 22%
JS Kairouan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Marsa JS Kairouan
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.9 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
AS Marsa vs JS Kairouan
1:2
Sep 11, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
JS Kairouan vs AS Marsa
2:1
Jun 4, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs JS Kairouan
3:1
May 7, 2023 Ligue 2
JS Kairouan vs AS Marsa
1:0
Dec 20, 2022 Ligue 2
AS Marsa vs JS Kairouan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Marsa Compare

Top Goalscorer Victorino Polaco
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

JS Kairouan Compare

Top Goalscorer Azib Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mounguide G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Marsa 29 / 100
JS Kairouan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Marsa JS Kairouan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JS Kairouan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JS Kairouan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: AS Marsa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AS Marsa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AS Marsa VS JS Kairouan
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Marsa

(Home)
12 Sept
AS Marsa
1 : 0
Etoile Sahel
06 Sept
Esperance Tunis
2 : 1
AS Marsa
29 Aug
AS Marsa
0 : 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier
23 Aug
CA Bizertin
1 : 0
AS Marsa
08 Aug
Esperance Tunis
1 : 2
AS Marsa
Page 1 of 6

JS Kairouan

(Away)
04 Oct
Kalaa
0 : 1
JS Kairouan
27 Sept
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
14 May
Metlaoui
0 : 0
JS Kairouan
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
03 May
AS Gabes
0 : 2
JS Kairouan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Africain 30 19 9 2 43:10 66
2 Esperance Tunis 30 18 9 3 45:11 63
3 CS Sfaxien 30 18 8 4 44:13 62
4 Stade Tunisien 30 12 12 6 28:14 48
5 Monastir 30 11 12 7 28:19 45
6 Zarzis 30 11 8 11 30:28 41
7 Etoile Sahel 30 11 8 11 28:30 41
8 Metlaoui 30 9 13 8 19:25 40
9 Jeunesse Sportive 30 10 6 14 24:33 36
10 Ben Guerdane 30 8 11 11 18:22 35
11 AS Marsa 30 11 2 17 26:33 35
12 CA Bizertin 30 8 9 13 18:29 33
13 Olympique Beja 30 9 5 16 18:39 32
14 JS Kairouan 30 9 4 17 20:41 31
15 Soliman 30 6 9 15 15:31 27
16 AS Gabes 30 3 9 18 11:37 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)