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AS Penarol vs Inter PN

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025
Sat, Feb 15, 2025
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Penarol host Inter PN in the Ligue 1 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Inter PN have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while AS Penarol have conceded 2.57 and scored 0.71. Head-to-head, AS Penarol have won 0 to Inter PN's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 0.74) point toward Inter PN. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
AS Penarol
20%
Draws
51%
Inter PN
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter PN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter PN lately — more wins on the board than AS Penarol.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AS Penarol Clean Sheet 20%
Inter PN Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Penarol Inter PN
Matches Played 7 8
Wins 1 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 0.71 1
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Penarol vs Inter PN
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Penarol 32 / 100
Inter PN 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Penarol Inter PN

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter PN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter PN's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

AS Penarol scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

AS Penarol went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Penarol VS Inter PN
0.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 60%
38% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Penarol

(Home)
21 Mar
Otoho d'Oyo
5 : 0
AS Penarol
16 Mar
AS Penarol
1 : 3
JS Talangai
12 Mar
Inter Club
3 : 0
AS Penarol
07 Mar
Racine
0 : 0
AS Penarol
02 Mar
AS Penarol
3 : 1
Juk
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Inter PN

(Away)
15 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 1
RCST
08 Mar
Inter PN
1 : 0
Nathalys
02 Mar
Leopard
2 : 0
Inter PN
23 Feb
Inter PN
1 : 2
V.Club Mokanda
15 Feb
CD Jeunes
1 : 2
Inter PN
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