Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Penarol vs Patronage Sainte-Anne

Republic of the Congo Republic of the Congo

Ligue 1 2024/2025
Wed, Mar 26, 2025
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Penarol host Patronage Sainte-Anne in the Ligue 1 2024/2025. This has Patronage Sainte-Anne written all over it on paper. AS Penarol have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Patronage Sainte-Anne's 0.5 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, AS Penarol have won 0 to Patronage Sainte-Anne's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 26, 2025, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Patronage Sainte-Anne. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AS Penarol
44%
Draws
20%
Patronage Sainte-Anne
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Penarol haven't matched Patronage Sainte-Anne's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
AS Penarol Clean Sheet 20%
Patronage Sainte-Anne Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Penarol Patronage Sainte-Anne
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 1 3
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2025 Ligue 1
AS Penarol vs Patronage Sainte-Anne
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Penarol 36 / 100
Patronage Sainte-Anne 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Penarol Patronage Sainte-Anne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Patronage Sainte-Anne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

AS Penarol scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

AS Penarol went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Penarol VS Patronage Sainte-Anne
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.83
50% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%