Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma U20 vs Ascoli U20

Italy Italy

Primavera - Group C 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Roma U20 in this Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Roma U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
AS Roma U20
20%
Draws
28%
Ascoli U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma U20 have won more games recently than Ascoli U20.
  • AS Roma U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primavera - Group C 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AS Roma U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AS Roma U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ascoli U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma U20 Ascoli U20
Matches Played 44 34
Wins 25 13
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.16 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2013 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs AS Roma U20
0:2
Sep 29, 2012 Primavera - Group C
AS Roma U20 vs Ascoli U20
3:1
Mar 17, 2012 Primavera - Group C
AS Roma U20 vs Ascoli U20
2:1
Nov 5, 2011 Primavera - Group C
Ascoli U20 vs AS Roma U20
2:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma U20 85 / 100
Ascoli U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma U20 Ascoli U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma U20's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Ascoli U20 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

AS Roma U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma U20 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma U20

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
14 Sept
AS Roma U20
1 : 1
Como U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
AS Roma U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
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Ascoli U20

(Away)
20 Apr
Pescara U20
1 : 2
Ascoli U20
13 Apr
Ascoli U20
0 : 4
Catania U20
06 Apr
Lanciano U20
1 : 3
Ascoli U20
03 Apr
Ascoli U20
1 : 4
Palermo U20
23 Mar
Ascoli U20
0 : 2
Juve Stabia U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma U20 26 22 4 0 95:23 70
2 Lazio U20 26 19 5 2 93:20 62
3 Palermo U20 26 18 4 4 60:31 58
4 Catania U20 26 15 1 10 48:39 46
5 Napoli U20 26 13 6 7 41:38 45
6 Reggina U20 26 11 7 8 36:25 40
7 Lecce U20 26 12 3 11 53:58 39
8 Ascoli U20 26 9 3 14 34:59 30
9 Juve Stabia U20 26 4 13 9 28:36 25
10 Nocerina U20 26 7 4 15 37:64 25
11 Bari U20 26 6 6 14 39:55 24
12 Pescara U20 26 4 6 16 26:56 18
13 Crotone U20 26 3 7 16 36:65 16
14 Gubbio U20 26 2 5 19 17:74 11
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera - Final Stage 2011/2012 (Qualification)