Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma U20 vs Monza U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nardin F.
19'
Sub
Terlizzi F. In: Lulli E.
Out: Terlizzi F.
49'
Scaramelli E.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 1 2025/2026 game between AS Roma U20 and Monza U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AS Roma U20
30%
Draws
19%
Monza U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Roma U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on AS Roma U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AS Roma U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma U20 Monza U20
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 14 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Monza U20
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Monza U20
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Primavera
AS Roma U20 vs Monza U20
2:0
Dec 16, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs AS Roma U20
0:5
Jan 18, 2025 Primavera 1
AS Roma U20 vs Monza U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nardin F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Monza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma U20 67 / 100
Monza U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma U20 Monza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Roma U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Roma U20 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

AS Roma U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Monza U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma U20 VS Monza U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma U20

(Home)
20 Sept
AC Milan U20
0 : 1
AS Roma U20
14 Sept
AS Roma U20
1 : 1
Como U20
04 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
AS Roma U20
30 Aug
Atalanta U20
1 : 3
AS Roma U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

Monza U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)