Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Roma vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Thorsby M.
46'
Sub
Ghilardi D. In: El Aynaoui N.
Out: Ghilardi D.
49'
Sub
Payero M. In: Bondo W.
Out: Payero M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A 2025/2026 game between AS Roma and Cremonese finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AS Roma
35%
Draws
45%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Roma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cremonese a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 16%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Roma Cremonese
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 13 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.93 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie A
AS Roma vs Cremonese
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie A
Cremonese vs AS Roma
1:3
Jan 3, 2024 Coppa Italia
AS Roma vs Cremonese
2:1
Feb 28, 2023 Serie A
Cremonese vs AS Roma
2:1
Feb 1, 2023 Coppa Italia
AS Roma vs Cremonese
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Roma Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristante B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndicka E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cremonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Roma 23 / 100
Cremonese 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Roma Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Roma found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Cremonese let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

AS Roma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Roma VS Cremonese
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Roma

(Home)
15 Aug
Dortmund
2 : 2
AS Roma
08 Aug
Brighton
3 : 0
AS Roma
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4
AS Roma
01 Aug
Cardiff
4 : 1
AS Roma
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
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Cremonese

(Away)
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
07 Aug
Verona
0 : 1
Cremonese
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
24 Jul
Cremonese
4 : 0
Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 89:35 87
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 58:36 76
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 59:31 73
4 Como 38 20 11 7 65:29 71
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 53:35 70
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 61:34 69
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 51:36 59
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 49:46 56
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 41:40 54
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 45:48 50
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 46:50 49
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 44:63 45
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 28:46 45
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 40:53 43
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 41:50 42
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 41:51 41
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 28:50 38
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 32:57 34
19 Verona 38 3 12 23 25:61 21
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 26:71 18
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)