Sport Picks
AS Roma vs VfB Stuttgart
Europe
Europa League 2025/2026 Stadio Olimpico, Rome 
Match Events
18'
18'
Mittelstadt M.
40'
40'
Pisilli N.
Assist: Soule M.
60'
60'
Sub
Ziolkowski J. In: Ndicka E.
Out: Ziolkowski J.
AI Match Summary
The Europa League 2025/2026 game between AS Roma and VfB Stuttgart finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Roma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Roma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- AS Roma have managed 2.07 goals a game lately — VfB Stuttgart are scoring more at 2.45.
- AS Roma are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Roma Clean Sheet 12%
VfB Stuttgart Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Roma | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2026 Europa League
AS Roma vs VfB Stuttgart
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AS Roma Compare
Top Goalscorer Pisilli N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
VfB Stuttgart Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Roma 65 / 100
VfB Stuttgart 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Roma VfB Stuttgart
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AS Roma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Roma found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: AS Roma remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
VfB Stuttgart let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
AS Roma VS VfB Stuttgart
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Roma
(Home) 19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2 Inter
14 Sept
Torino
0 : 2 AS Roma
10 Sept
Fenerbahce
1 : 1 AS Roma
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4 AS Roma
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 2 Inter
05 Sept
AS Roma
2 : 1 Atalanta
24 Aug
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
17 May
AS Roma
2 : 0 Lazio
04 May
AS Roma
4 : 0 Fiorentina
Page 1 of 3
VfB Stuttgart
(Away) 25 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 0 Heidenheim
19 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 Dortmund
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
09 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 Viking
04 Sept
VfB Stuttgart
4 : 1 1. FC Koln
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Hoffenheim
2 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
28 Aug
Bayern Munich
5 : 1 VfB Stuttgart
21 Aug
Hansa Rostock
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart
15 Aug
Fulham
1 : 0 VfB Stuttgart
29 Jul
Kickers Offenbach
1 : 8 VfB Stuttgart
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:5 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Betis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Braga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 17 |
| 7 | Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 17 |
| 8 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 12 | Ferencvaros | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 13 | Nottingham | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 14 |
| 14 | Plzen | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 8:3 | 14 |
| 15 | Crvena zvezda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:11 | 13 |
| 17 | PAOK | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 12 |
| 18 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 20 | Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 21 | Celtic | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:15 | 11 |
| 22 | Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:15 | 10 |
| 23 | Din. Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | 10 |
| 24 | Brann | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 25 | Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 26 | Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 27 | FCSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 28 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:14 | 7 |
| 29 | Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:15 | 6 |
| 30 | Basel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 31 | Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 6 |
| 32 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 33 | Nice | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 34 | Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | 1 |
| 35 | Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | 1 |
| 36 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
