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AS Sora vs Vastogirardi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Didio L.

AI Match Summary

AS Sora in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Sora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
AS Sora
15%
Draws
26%
Vastogirardi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AS Sora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Sora lately — more wins on the board than Vastogirardi.
  • AS Sora are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 20%
Vastogirardi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Sora Vastogirardi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Vastogirardi
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Vastogirardi vs AS Sora
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Sora Compare

Top Goalscorer Didio L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Vastogirardi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Sora 67 / 100
Vastogirardi 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Sora Vastogirardi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Sora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Sora scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Vastogirardi conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

AS Sora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Vastogirardi has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AS Sora VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Sora

(Home)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 6

Vastogirardi

(Away)
05 May
Roma City
4 : 2
Vastogirardi
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4
Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 2
Vastogirardi
14 Apr
Vastogirardi
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
07 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1
Vastogirardi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)