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AS Vacoas vs Port Louis

Mauritius Mauritius

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Port Louis in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Port Louis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AS Vacoas
20%
Draws
58%
Port Louis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Port Louis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AS Vacoas at 1.37 per game, Port Louis at 1.25.
  • Model gives Port Louis a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AS Vacoas Clean Sheet 14%
Port Louis Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Vacoas Port Louis
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Port Louis
2:3
Nov 28, 2025 Super League
Port Louis vs AS Vacoas
1:1
May 12, 2025 Super League
Port Louis vs AS Vacoas
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
AS Vacoas vs Port Louis
1:0
Jul 19, 2024 Super League
Port Louis vs AS Vacoas
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Vacoas 19 / 100
Port Louis 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Vacoas Port Louis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Port Louis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Vacoas's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Port Louis has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: AS Vacoas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Vacoas VS Port Louis
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Vacoas

(Home)
30 Apr
PAS Mates
1 : 3
AS Vacoas
26 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Riviere Du Rempart
19 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 2
La Cure Waves
14 Apr
AS Vacoas
0 : 3
Chebel Citizens
15 Mar
AS Vacoas
2 : 3
Port Louis
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Port Louis

(Away)
12 Sept
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 1
Port Louis
04 Sept
Port Louis
1 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
28 Apr
Cercle De Joachim
1 : 1
Port Louis
22 Apr
Port Louis
3 : 0
PAS Mates
18 Apr
Pamplemousses
2 : 0
Port Louis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Cure Waves 18 14 1 3 50:20 43
2 Pamplemousses 18 12 3 3 35:14 39
3 Chebel Citizens 18 11 3 4 28:13 36
4 Cercle De Joachim 18 8 4 6 33:21 28
5 Riviere Du Rempart 18 8 4 6 33:27 28
6 Port Louis 18 7 3 8 26:29 24
7 Petite Riviere 18 7 3 8 23:24 24
8 AS Vacoas 18 7 2 9 24:23 23
9 Beau Bassin (USBBRH) 18 1 5 12 15:46 8
10 PAS Mates 18 0 2 16 10:60 2
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)