Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA Aarhus vs Holstebro

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASA Aarhus host Holstebro in the 3rd Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. ASA Aarhus have averaged 1.27 scored and 1.73 conceded recently, against Holstebro's 1.79 scored and 2.24 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.83 - 0.94) back ASA Aarhus to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
ASA Aarhus
30%
Draws
29%
Holstebro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holstebro come out ahead of ASA Aarhus on wins alone.
  • Model gives ASA Aarhus a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 20%
Holstebro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus Holstebro
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 4 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.73 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 49 / 100
Holstebro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus Holstebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASA Aarhus scored in 82% of their last 11 outings.

Holstebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: ASA Aarhus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Holstebro's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus VS Holstebro
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 3
33% Over 1.5 88%
17% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus

(Home)
11 Aug
Ishoj IF
0 : 1
ASA Aarhus
04 Aug
Viby
0 : 1
ASA Aarhus
01 Aug
ASA Aarhus
1 : 1
Ringsted
05 Aug
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Lyseng
13 Aug
ASA Aarhus
1 : 2
Thisted FC
Page 1 of 3

Holstebro

(Away)
08 Aug
Holstebro
2 : 2
Holbaek
04 Aug
Holstebro
1 : 3
Aalborg
01 Aug
Horsholm-Usserod
2 : 3
Holstebro
23 Jul
Skive
2 : 2
Holstebro
18 Jul
Thisted FC
3 : 2
Holstebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanlose 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Bronshoj 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Holstebro 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
4 Helsingor 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Holbaek 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 ASA Aarhus 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Naesby 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
8 Ringsted 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
9 Horsholm-Usserod 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
10 BK Frem 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 Ishoj IF 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
12 Sundby 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)