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ASA Aarhus vs Naesby Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
ASA Aarhus Logo

ASA Aarhus

1 - 0
FT
Naesby Logo

Naesby

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Jonson E.
90'
Wollenberg N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASA Aarhus in this 3rd Division matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASA Aarhus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ASA Aarhus
15%
Draws
46%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naesby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • ASA Aarhus haven't matched Naesby's recent run of results.
  • Naesby are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus Naesby
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.3 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 3rd Division
ASA Aarhus vs Naesby
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Naesby Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 26 / 100
Naesby 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naesby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA Aarhus's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Naesby conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: ASA Aarhus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus VS Naesby
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus

(Home)
03 Oct
Holbaek
2 : 1
ASA Aarhus
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Bronshoj
5 : 1
ASA Aarhus
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 4

Naesby

(Away)
26 Sept
Ringsted
1 : 2
Naesby
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 10 7 1 2 26:18 22
2 Bronshoj 10 5 4 1 18:10 19
3 Vanlose 10 5 4 1 16:9 19
4 Naesby 10 5 2 3 20:14 17
5 Helsingor 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
6 ASA Aarhus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
7 Holstebro 10 4 1 5 16:22 13
8 Horsholm-Usserod 10 3 3 4 20:19 12
9 Sundby 10 3 1 6 14:16 10
10 BK Frem 10 2 3 5 17:19 9
11 Ishoj IF 10 2 2 6 9:19 8
12 Ringsted 10 1 2 7 13:27 5
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)