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ASA Aarhus vs Sundby Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

3rd Division
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASA Aarhus host Sundby in the 3rd Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: ASA Aarhus at 1.32 goals for, 1.79 against; Sundby at 1.53 for, 1.78 against. Head-to-head, ASA Aarhus have won 0 to Sundby's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.63) point toward Sundby. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ASA Aarhus
15%
Draws
42%
Sundby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sundby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on ASA Aarhus taking it.
  • Regular 3rd Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ASA Aarhus Clean Sheet 14%
Sundby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus Sundby
Matches Played 19 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 3rd Division
Sundby vs ASA Aarhus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus 57 / 100
Sundby 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus Sundby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Aarhus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA Aarhus's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Sundby let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

ASA Aarhus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus VS Sundby
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus

(Home)
26 Sept
ASA Aarhus
2 : 1
Horsholm-Usserod
19 Sept
Bronshoj
5 : 1
ASA Aarhus
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
28 Aug
ASA Aarhus
4 : 0
Holstebro
Page 1 of 4

Sundby

(Away)
26 Sept
BK Frem
0 : 3
Sundby
19 Sept
Sundby
2 : 0
Holstebro
13 Sept
Helsingor
2 : 1
Sundby
10 Sept
Sundby
0 : 7
Midtjylland
05 Sept
Sundby
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Holbaek 9 6 1 2 24:17 19
2 Bronshoj 9 5 3 1 17:9 18
3 Helsingor 9 5 2 2 17:11 17
4 Vanlose 9 4 4 1 15:9 16
5 ASA Aarhus 9 5 1 3 13:12 16
6 Naesby 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
7 Holstebro 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
8 Sundby 9 3 1 5 14:15 10
9 Horsholm-Usserod 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
10 BK Frem 9 2 2 5 16:18 8
11 Ishoj IF 9 2 1 6 7:17 7
12 Ringsted 9 1 1 7 11:25 4
Promotion - 3rd Division (Promotion Group)
Relegation - 3rd Division (Relegation Group)