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ASA Aarhus W vs Varde W

Denmark Denmark

1. Division Women 2022/2023 Koncenton Park, Aarhus
ASA Aarhus W Logo

ASA Aarhus W

2 - 1
FT
Varde W Logo

Varde W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Division Women 2022/2023 game between ASA Aarhus W and Varde W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASA Aarhus W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ASA Aarhus W
15%
Draws
42%
Varde W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASA Aarhus W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • ASA Aarhus W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on ASA Aarhus W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
ASA Aarhus W Clean Sheet 20%
Varde W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Aarhus W Varde W
Matches Played 45 33
Wins 27 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 2.56 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.51 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2024 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Varde W
4:1
May 4, 2024 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs ASA Aarhus W
2:0
Nov 25, 2023 B-Liga Women
ASA Aarhus W vs Varde W
1:1
Sep 30, 2023 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs ASA Aarhus W
3:4
May 27, 2023 B-Liga Women
Varde W vs ASA Aarhus W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA Aarhus W 36 / 100
Varde W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Aarhus W Varde W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA Aarhus W scored in 82% of their last 45 games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Varde W has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Varde W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASA Aarhus W VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA Aarhus W

(Home)
13 Sept
KoldingQ W
1 : 3
ASA Aarhus W
05 Sept
FC Copenhagen W
1 : 0
ASA Aarhus W
29 Aug
ASA Aarhus W
2 : 1
Fortuna Hjorring W
22 Aug
Midtjylland W
4 : 1
ASA Aarhus W
15 Aug
ASA Aarhus W
1 : 3
Nordsjaelland W
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Varde W

(Away)
15 Jun
Varde W
4 : 2
Sundby W
08 Jun
Vildbjerg W
4 : 0
Varde W
01 Jun
Varde W
1 : 2
Solrod FC W
26 May
ASA Aarhus W
4 : 1
Varde W
19 May
Varde W
2 : 0
BSF W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osterbro IF W 10 6 3 1 29:13 21
2 ASA Aarhus W 10 5 0 5 21:17 15
3 Varde W 10 4 2 4 16:15 14
4 BSF W 10 4 2 4 12:17 14
5 Vildbjerg W 10 3 4 3 23:23 13
6 Dalum/Naesby W 10 2 1 7 6:22 7
Promotion - 1. Division Women 2023/2024 (Main)