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ASA vs Benfica Luanda

Angola Angola

Girabola 2016 Estádio Joaquim Dinis, Luanda
ASA Logo

ASA

1 - 4
FT
Benfica Luanda Logo

Benfica Luanda

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
63' Event
70' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2016 game between ASA and Benfica Luanda finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica Luanda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
ASA
30%
Draws
47%
Benfica Luanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica Luanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • ASA haven't matched Benfica Luanda's recent run of results.
  • Benfica Luanda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 19%
Benfica Luanda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Benfica Luanda
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
0:0
Oct 23, 2016 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
1:4
May 20, 2016 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs ASA
0:1
Aug 22, 2015 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
1:1
Apr 10, 2015 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs ASA
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 20 / 100
Benfica Luanda 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Benfica Luanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Luanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ASA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Benfica Luanda let in goals in 53% of their last 15 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
18 May
ASA
1 : 1
Caala
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
6 : 2
ASA
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
24 Apr
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
ASA
20 Apr
ASA
1 : 1
C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 7

Benfica Luanda

(Away)
05 Nov
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 3
Benfica Luanda
29 Oct
Benfica Luanda
0 : 0
Petro Atletico
23 Oct
ASA
1 : 4
Benfica Luanda
14 Oct
Benfica Luanda
3 : 1
Interclube
09 Oct
Kabuscorp
1 : 0
Benfica Luanda
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 6 4 60:22 66
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 37:14 64
3 C.R.D. Libolo 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Progresso da Lunda Sul 30 13 7 10 25:20 46
5 Kabuscorp 30 13 7 10 30:24 46
6 Benfica Luanda 30 13 5 12 29:24 44
7 Interclube 30 11 8 11 28:32 41
8 Progresso Sambizanga 30 8 15 7 23:23 39
9 Sagrada 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
10 Desportivo Huila 30 10 6 14 29:39 36
11 Caala 30 8 10 12 27:26 34
12 Academica 30 9 7 14 26:38 34
13 ASA 30 10 3 17 28:43 33
14 4 de Abril 30 6 13 11 21:27 31
15 Primeiro de Maio 30 7 8 15 24:44 29
16 Porcelana 30 5 3 22 14:48 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2017 (Qualification)