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ASA vs Benfica Luanda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Angola Angola

Girabola 2017 Estádio Joaquim Dinis, Luanda
Sun, Apr 30, 2017
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASA host Benfica Luanda in the Girabola 2017. Little to choose between these two on current form. Benfica Luanda have shipped 0.8 goals a game lately, while ASA have conceded 1.65 and scored 0.84. Past meetings favor Benfica Luanda slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 30, 2017, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.25, favoring Benfica Luanda. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
ASA
30%
Draws
47%
Benfica Luanda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benfica Luanda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • ASA haven't matched Benfica Luanda's recent run of results.
  • Benfica Luanda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ASA Clean Sheet 19%
Benfica Luanda Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Benfica Luanda
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.84 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.65 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
0:0
Oct 23, 2016 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
1:4
May 20, 2016 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs ASA
0:1
Aug 22, 2015 Girabola
ASA vs Benfica Luanda
1:1
Apr 10, 2015 Girabola
Benfica Luanda vs ASA
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 20 / 100
Benfica Luanda 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Benfica Luanda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica Luanda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Benfica Luanda conceded in 53% of 15 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
18 May
ASA
1 : 1
Caala
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
6 : 2
ASA
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
24 Apr
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
ASA
20 Apr
ASA
1 : 1
C.R.D. Libolo
Page 1 of 7

Benfica Luanda

(Away)
05 Nov
Progresso Sambizanga
2 : 3
Benfica Luanda
29 Oct
Benfica Luanda
0 : 0
Petro Atletico
23 Oct
ASA
1 : 4
Benfica Luanda
14 Oct
Benfica Luanda
3 : 1
Interclube
09 Oct
Kabuscorp
1 : 0
Benfica Luanda
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 19 8 3 44:14 65
2 Petro Atletico 30 20 2 8 46:20 62
3 Sagrada 30 15 8 7 34:23 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 11 6 40:29 50
5 Interclube 30 12 12 6 34:19 48
6 C.R.D. Libolo 30 13 9 8 41:23 48
7 Caala 30 12 5 13 24:27 41
8 Desportivo Huila 30 11 8 11 23:28 41
9 Progresso Sambizanga 30 11 8 11 34:30 41
10 Primeiro de Maio 30 12 4 14 40:49 40
11 Bravos do Maquis 30 8 9 13 19:26 33
12 Progresso da Lunda Sul 30 8 8 14 28:39 32
13 Academica 30 8 6 16 39:53 30
14 Desportivo JGM 30 8 6 16 26:55 30
15 ASA 30 6 8 16 21:37 26
16 Santa Rita 30 4 8 18 24:45 20
17 Benfica Luanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2018 (Qualification)