Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASA vs CRB

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
3 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Alex Bruno
13' Event
Higor Leite
62' Event
Jailson

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
ASA
20%
Draws
42%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CRB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • ASA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
CRB Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA CRB
Matches Played 46 42
Wins 24 22
Draws 16 6
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.54 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
ASA vs CRB
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs CRB
3:0
Mar 7, 2026 Alagoano
ASA vs CRB
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs ASA
3:0
Jan 31, 2026 Alagoano
CRB vs ASA
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Alex Bruno
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higor Leite
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

CRB Compare

Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 36 / 100
CRB 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASA's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

CRB has conceded goals in 62% of their last 42 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS CRB
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
71% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 10

CRB

(Away)
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
05 Sept
CRB
3 : 1
America MG
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
ASA 3
CRB 0
CSA 5
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 0
Final
ASA 2
CSA 3