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ASA vs Dimensao Capela

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Uelber
15' Event
Uelber
36' Event
Otavio

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with ASA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
ASA
30%
Draws
8%
Dimensao Capela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • ASA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ASA are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASA, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors ASA here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Dimensao Capela Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Dimensao Capela
Matches Played 39 29
Wins 20 10
Draws 13 3
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2025 Copa Alagoas
ASA vs Dimensao Capela
5:0
Feb 1, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Dimensao Capela vs ASA
0:1
Feb 9, 2019 Alagoano
Dimensao Capela vs ASA
2:2
Jan 21, 2018 Alagoano
ASA vs Dimensao Capela
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Uelber
2 Goals
Assists Leader Otavio
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Dimensao Capela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 95 / 100
Dimensao Capela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Dimensao Capela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

ASA scored in 77% of their last 39 games.

Dimensao Capela let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

ASA went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASA VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
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Dimensao Capela

(Away)
10 Mar
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 3
Dimensao Capela
05 Mar
CSA
4 : 0
Dimensao Capela
11 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 1
CRB
04 Feb
Dimensao Capela
0 : 2
Coruripe
06 Oct
Cruzeiro Arapiraca
3 : 1
Dimensao Capela
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Penedense 6 4 1 1 19:3 13
2 Coruripe 6 4 0 2 7:3 12
3 CRB 6 3 2 1 13:2 11
4 Zumbi 6 3 2 1 12:3 11
5 Murici 6 3 1 2 12:7 10
6 Dimensao Capela 6 2 0 4 6:13 6
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 6 6 0 0 11:1 18
2 CSA 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
3 ASA 6 2 1 3 8:5 7
4 Guarany Alagoano 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
5 Igaci 6 0 0 6 0:18 0
6 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 6 0 0 6 1:29 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)