Sport Picks

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ASA vs Progresso Sambizanga

Angola Angola

Girabola 2018/2019 Estádio Joaquim Dinis, Luanda
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AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2018/2019 game between ASA and Progresso Sambizanga finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Progresso Sambizanga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
ASA
30%
Draws
12%
Progresso Sambizanga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Progresso Sambizanga have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — ASA are scoring more at 0.83.
  • Model gives ASA a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
ASA Clean Sheet 20%
Progresso Sambizanga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASA Progresso Sambizanga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.83 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2019 Girabola
ASA vs Progresso Sambizanga
1:2
Jan 6, 2019 Girabola
ASA vs Progresso Sambizanga
0:0
Jul 29, 2017 Girabola
Progresso Sambizanga vs ASA
1:1
Mar 15, 2017 Girabola
ASA vs Progresso Sambizanga
0:0
Oct 8, 2016 Girabola
ASA vs Progresso Sambizanga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASA 85 / 100
Progresso Sambizanga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASA Progresso Sambizanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresso Sambizanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

ASA found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Progresso Sambizanga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Progresso Sambizanga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASA

(Home)
18 May
ASA
1 : 1
Caala
11 May
Sporting de Cabinda
6 : 2
ASA
27 Apr
ASA
1 : 0
Saurimo
24 Apr
Petro Atletico
3 : 0
ASA
20 Apr
ASA
1 : 1
C.R.D. Libolo
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Progresso Sambizanga

(Away)
28 May
Kabuscorp
4 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 May
Progresso Sambizanga
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
08 May
Primeiro de Agosto
5 : 0
Progresso Sambizanga
23 Apr
Progresso Sambizanga
0 : 1
Caala
17 Apr
Cuando Cubango FC
2 : 1
Progresso Sambizanga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Primeiro de Agosto 30 20 10 0 51:9 70
2 Petro Atletico 30 19 7 4 40:15 64
3 Desportivo Huila 30 15 8 7 36:25 53
4 Kabuscorp 30 13 10 7 35:26 49
5 Interclube 30 10 12 8 26:22 42
6 Sagrada 30 10 11 9 31:26 41
7 Progresso Sambizanga 30 9 13 8 33:29 40
8 C.R.D. Libolo 30 10 9 11 31:30 39
9 Caala 30 8 13 9 29:33 37
10 Bravos do Maquis 30 7 16 7 28:27 37
11 Santa Rita 30 8 8 14 32:41 32
12 Academica 30 7 10 13 23:29 31
13 Sporting de Cabinda 30 6 12 12 30:43 30
14 Cuando Cubango FC 30 6 8 16 30:51 26
15 ASA 30 5 11 14 25:47 26
16 Saurimo 30 5 6 19 20:47 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)