Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Thiago Santos
90'
90'
Michel Douglas
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to ASA lately — more wins on the board than Sergipe.
- Win probability leans ASA's way, sitting at 90%.
- ASA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
ASA Clean Sheet 68%
Sergipe Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ASA | Sergipe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
0:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
1:1
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
ASA vs Sergipe
2:2
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Sergipe vs ASA
1:2
Jan 4, 2025 Copa do Nordeste
Sergipe vs ASA
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ASA Compare
Top Goalscorer Michel Douglas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Sergipe Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiago Santos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
ASA 95 / 100
Sergipe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
ASA Sergipe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: ASA remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
ASA's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sergipe has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
ASA VS Sergipe
1.25 Goals Scored 0.83
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 17%
0% Over 3.5 17%
Recent Form & Match History
ASA
(Home) 30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0 ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0 Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1 Goiatuba EC
08 Aug
Goiatuba EC
0 : 0 ASA
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1 Cianorte
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0 Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1 Goiatuba EC
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1 Cianorte
12 Jul
ASA
4 : 0 Ivinhema
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1 Sergipe
Page 1 of 4
Sergipe
(Away) 27 Jun
Sergipe
0 : 1 ASA
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1 Sergipe
14 Jun
Sergipe
1 : 1 Serra Branca
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2 Sergipe
23 May
Sergipe
0 : 1 Treze PB
Page 1 of 6
21 Jun
ASA
1 : 1 Sergipe
31 May
Decisao
3 : 2 Sergipe
16 May
Lagarto
1 : 1 Sergipe
04 May
Retro
1 : 3 Sergipe
19 Apr
Treze PB
3 : 1 Sergipe
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA -
Uberlandia -
