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Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Ghanaian Cup Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
Sun, Feb 8, 2026
0 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Penalty Missed
2' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asante Kotoko
30%
Draws
39%
Aduana Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aduana Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aduana Stars come out ahead of Asante Kotoko on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aduana Stars arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aduana Stars, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 20%
Aduana Stars Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asante Kotoko Aduana Stars
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.14 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars
0:2
Mar 29, 2026 Premier League
Aduana Stars vs Asante Kotoko
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Ghanaian Cup
Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars
0:1
Nov 16, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars
1:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Aduana Stars
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asante Kotoko 36 / 100
Aduana Stars 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asante Kotoko Aduana Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aduana Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Asante Kotoko stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Asante Kotoko scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Aduana Stars conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Asante Kotoko VS Aduana Stars
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asante Kotoko

(Home)
01 Oct
Asante Kotoko
1 : 0
Karela
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Heart of Lions
06 Sept
Debibi United
2 : 2
Asante Kotoko
Page 1 of 6

Aduana Stars

(Away)
04 Oct
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Swedru All Blacks
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Aduana Stars
2 : 1
Karela
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Heart of Lions
0 : 0
Aduana Stars
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Dreams FC 4
International Allies 2
True Life 2
Heart of Lions 3
Eleven Wonders 0
Attram de Visser 4
Medeama 1
Samartex 0
Asante Kotoko 0
Aduana Stars 1
Techiman Liberty 2
Real Tamale 0
Nations FC 2
Swedru All Blacks 1
Berekum Chelsea 1
Tamale City 0
Quarter-finals
Dreams FC 2
Heart of Lions 1
Attram de Visser 0
Medeama 3
Aduana Stars 3
Techiman Liberty 0
Nations FC 1
Berekum Chelsea 0
Semi-finals
Dreams FC 3
Medeama 2
Aduana Stars 0
Nations FC 1
Final
Dreams FC 1
Nations FC 2