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Asante Kotoko vs Nations FC

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Amoah A.
26'
Kotei E.
39'
Suhuyini S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Asante Kotoko and Nations FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asante Kotoko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asante Kotoko
39%
Draws
30%
Nations FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nations FC come out ahead of Asante Kotoko on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 21%
Nations FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asante Kotoko Nations FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Nations FC
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
Nations FC vs Asante Kotoko
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Nations FC vs Asante Kotoko
2:0
Nov 17, 2024 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Nations FC
0:2
Mar 24, 2024 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Nations FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asante Kotoko Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nations FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asante Kotoko 32 / 100
Nations FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asante Kotoko Nations FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asante Kotoko scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Nations FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Asante Kotoko went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asante Kotoko VS Nations FC
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asante Kotoko

(Home)
24 May
Asante Kotoko
1 : 2
Swedru All Blacks
17 May
Bechem United
3 : 1
Asante Kotoko
10 May
Asante Kotoko
2 : 0
Eleven Wonders
06 May
Asante Kotoko
3 : 0
Hohoe United
03 May
Dreams FC
2 : 0
Asante Kotoko
Page 1 of 6

Nations FC

(Away)
31 May
Dreams FC
1 : 2
Nations FC
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Nations FC
0 : 1
Vision
10 May
Young Apostles
1 : 0
Nations FC
06 May
Heart of Lions
0 : 1
Nations FC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Medeama341711652:2862
2Bibiani Gold Stars341931246:4060
3Hearts of Oak341315625:1554
4Dreams FC341571249:3252
5Samartex3413111026:2550
6Aduana Stars3413111029:2450
7Berekum Chelsea341481235:3350
8Asante Kotoko3413101141:2949
9Karela3413101132:3349
10Bechem United341381338:3947
11Vision3412111138:3447
12Holy Stars341371430:3946
13Young Apostles341291337:3745
14Heart of Lions341291336:3345
15Swedru All Blacks341291334:3145
16Nations FC341281430:3144
17Hohoe United34791822:5030
18Eleven Wonders34342726:7313
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)