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Asante Kotoko vs Samartex

Ghana Ghana

Premier League 2025/2026 Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Kyei S.
45'
Badu P.
46'
Sub
Adam I. In: Dogo Y.
Out: Adam I.

AI Match Summary

Samartex in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Asante Kotoko
35%
Draws
39%
Samartex
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samartex lately — more wins on the board than Asante Kotoko.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Asante Kotoko Clean Sheet 23%
Samartex Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asante Kotoko Samartex
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.17 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Premier League
Samartex vs Asante Kotoko
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Samartex
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Asante Kotoko
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Asante Kotoko
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Asante Kotoko vs Samartex
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asante Kotoko Compare

Top Goalscorer Amoah A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Boateng C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mamah E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asante Kotoko 33 / 100
Samartex 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asante Kotoko Samartex

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samartex Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Asante Kotoko went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Asante Kotoko scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Samartex's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Asante Kotoko VS Samartex
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asante Kotoko

(Home)
27 Sept
Asante Kotoko
0 : 2
Aduana Stars
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Asante Kotoko
2 : 1
Heart of Lions
06 Sept
Debibi United
2 : 2
Asante Kotoko
28 Aug
Asante Kotoko
0 : 0
Hearts of Oak
Page 1 of 6

Samartex

(Away)
27 Sept
Swedru All Blacks
1 : 1
Samartex
20 Sept
Samartex
1 : 1
Asante Kotoko
13 Sept
Aduana Stars
0 : 1
Samartex
06 Sept
Samartex
3 : 1
Karela
30 Aug
Samartex
1 : 1
Bibiani Gold Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 34 17 11 6 52:28 62
2 Bibiani Gold Stars 34 19 3 12 46:40 60
3 Hearts of Oak 34 13 15 6 25:15 54
4 Dreams FC 34 15 7 12 49:32 52
5 Samartex 34 13 11 10 26:25 50
6 Aduana Stars 34 13 11 10 29:24 50
7 Berekum Chelsea 34 14 8 12 35:33 50
8 Asante Kotoko 34 13 10 11 41:29 49
9 Karela 34 13 10 11 32:33 49
10 Bechem United 34 13 8 13 38:39 47
11 Vision 34 12 11 11 38:34 47
12 Holy Stars 34 13 7 14 30:39 46
13 Young Apostles 34 12 9 13 37:37 45
14 Heart of Lions 34 12 9 13 36:33 45
15 Swedru All Blacks 34 12 9 13 34:31 45
16 Nations FC 34 12 8 14 30:31 44
17 Hohoe United 34 7 9 18 22:50 30
18 Eleven Wonders 34 3 4 27 26:73 13
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)