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Asaria vs Abi Al Ashar

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Benchoucha M.
Assist: Esdira W.
45' Event
Al Ghoneimy M.
86' Event
Nekkache H.
Assist: Bahaj H.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Asaria and Abi Al Ashar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Abi Al Ashar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Asaria
20%
Draws
0%
Abi Al Ashar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Abi Al Ashar come out ahead of Asaria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Asaria's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Abi Al Ashar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Abi Al Ashar
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.83 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Abi Al Ashar
1:2
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Abi Al Ashar vs Asaria
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchoucha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Abi Al Ashar Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ghoneimy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nekkache H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 85 / 100
Abi Al Ashar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Abi Al Ashar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Abi Al Ashar let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Abi Al Ashar registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Asaria scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Abi Al Ashar
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Abi Al Ashar

(Away)
25 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 8
Al Shomooa
15 Apr
Al Majd
1 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
10 Apr
Abi Al Ashar
0 : 1
Ittihad Gharyan
17 Mar
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0
Abi Al Ashar
12 Mar
Abi Al Ashar
1 : 2
Al Tirsana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)