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Asaria vs Al Madina

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Touj S.
55'
Tabib M.
55'
Tabib M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Asaria
33%
Draws
27%
Al Madina
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Asaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Madina have won more games recently than Asaria.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Asaria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Asaria Clean Sheet 68%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Madina
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asaria
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asaria
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
0:2
May 6, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mahmoudi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Al Madina Compare

Top Goalscorer Touj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 50 / 100
Al Madina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Madina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asaria found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Al Madina conceded in 70% of 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Asaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Madina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al-Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Madina

(Away)
24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1
Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al-Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2
Olympic Azzaweya
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr1695220:932
2Al Akhdar1694325:1131
3Al Tahaddi1667320:1425
4Khaleej Sirte1655617:1919
5Al-Suqoor1654716:2019
6Al-Anwar1654718:2619
7Al Borouq1639414:1518
8Al Ansar16421015:2614
9Wefaq Ajdabiya164489:1413
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Benghazi14111231:634
2Al Hilal Benghazi14111230:1234
3Al Sadaqa1473416:1324
4Al Taawun1464419:1422
5Al-Andalus1453617:1818
6Al Murooj SC1433814:2512
7Al Branes14221011:288
8Al Mahdia1413108:306
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Asswehly16124036:1240
2Olympic Azzaweya16114128:1337
3Al-Ittihad1684424:1028
4Al-Majd1663725:2921
5Shabab Al-Ghar1648418:1820
6Abu Salim1662820:2420
7Al Bashaer1645719:2117
8Al Tirsana1636722:2215
9Al Nahda1600165:48-3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli16133038:442
2Al Madina16104227:1434
3Al Ittihad Misurata1665514:1423
4Al Watan1655619:2219
5Al Malaab El Libby1639413:1518
6Al-Khmes16511011:2016
7Abi Al Ashar1636710:1815
8Al Dahra1636711:2215
9Asaria16331013:2712
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)