Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Touj S.
55'
55'
Tabib M.
55'
55'
Tabib M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Asaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Madina have won more games recently than Asaria.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Asaria Clean Sheet 68%
Al Madina Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asaria | Al Madina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2025 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asaria
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 Premier League
Al Madina vs Asaria
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
0:2
May 6, 2023 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Madina
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Asaria Compare
Top Goalscorer Al Mahmoudi M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Al Madina Compare
Top Goalscorer Touj S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asaria 41 / 100
Al Madina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asaria Al Madina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Asaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asaria found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Al Madina conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Asaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Al Madina
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Asaria
(Home) 11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0 Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0 Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
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11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
12 Feb
Asaria
1 : 2 Al Ahly Tripoli
16 Jan
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Malaab El Libby
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Al Madina
(Away) 24 May
Al Madina
1 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3 Asswehly
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
06 May
Al Madina
3 : 2 Olympic Azzaweya
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10 May
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Madina
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
0 : 2 Al Madina
10 Mar
Al Khmes
0 : 2 Al Madina
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 20:9 | 32 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Tahaddi | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:14 | 25 |
| 4 | Khaleej Sirte | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17:19 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Suqoor | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Al Anwar | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Borouq | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 14:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Al Ansar | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15:26 | 14 |
| 9 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 9:14 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31:6 | 34 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 30:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Sadaqa | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 24 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 22 |
| 5 | Al Andalus | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:25 | 12 |
| 7 | Al Branes | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11:28 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Mahdia | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8:30 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asswehly | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 36:12 | 40 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:13 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 24:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Majd | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:29 | 21 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ghar | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Abu Salim | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20:24 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Bashaer | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 8 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 22:22 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Nahda | 16 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 5:48 | -3 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 38:4 | 42 |
| 2 | Al Madina | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 27:14 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:14 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:22 | 19 |
| 5 | Al Malaab El Libby | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 13:15 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Khmes | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 11:20 | 16 |
| 7 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Dahra | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:22 | 15 |
| 9 | Asaria | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13:27 | 12 |
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
