Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Asaria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Al Mahalla Tripoli have won more games recently than Asaria.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Asaria taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Asaria Clean Sheet 18%
Al Mahalla Tripoli Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asaria | Al Mahalla Tripoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2023 Premier League
Al Mahalla Tripoli vs Asaria
1:1
Nov 3, 2022 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Mahalla Tripoli
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asaria 40 / 100
Al Mahalla Tripoli 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asaria Al Mahalla Tripoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Asaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Asaria's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Al Mahalla Tripoli conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Asaria VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Asaria
(Home) 11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0 Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0 Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
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11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Ittihad Misurata
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2 Abi Al Ashar
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2 Al Watan
12 Feb
Asaria
1 : 2 Al Ahly Tripoli
16 Jan
Asaria
2 : 1 Al Malaab El Libby
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Al Mahalla Tripoli
(Away) 09 Jun
Al Mahalla Tripoli
0 : 1 Al Khmes
02 Jun
Al Mahalla Tripoli
1 : 0 Asswehly
24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
3 : 1 Al Mahalla Tripoli
19 May
Al Mahalla Tripoli
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
06 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0 Al Mahalla Tripoli
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24 May
Olympic Azzaweya
3 : 1 Al Mahalla Tripoli
06 May
Al Ittihad Misurata
2 : 0 Al Mahalla Tripoli
12 Mar
Abu Salim
0 : 0 Al Mahalla Tripoli
24 Feb
Al Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Mahalla Tripoli
22 Dec
Al Khmes
1 : 1 Al Mahalla Tripoli
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 26:16 | 33 |
| 2 | Al Nasr | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 20:15 | 30 |
| 3 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 23:16 | 29 |
| 4 | Al Akhdar | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:19 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 20:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Taawun | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 21:21 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Sadaqa | 18 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 16:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Al Suqoor | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 9 | Al Tahaddi | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 12:20 | 14 |
| 10 | Shabaab Al Jabal | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10:24 | 4 |
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 18:6 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 24:11 | 32 |
| 3 | Abu Salim | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 16:8 | 32 |
| 4 | Olympic Azzaweya | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23:17 | 25 |
| 5 | Asswehly | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:19 | 24 |
| 6 | Asaria | 18 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 16:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Al Khmes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 11:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Al Madina | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 15:19 | 13 |
| 9 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 12:16 | 12 |
| 10 | Al Mahalla Tripoli | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 11:24 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2022/2023 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2022/2023 (Relegation)
