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Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sharif M. A.
Assist: Salamba A.
15' Event
Kouyate M.
52' Event
Kouyate M.
Assist: Khalil M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Asaria and Al Malaab El Libby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Asaria
30%
Draws
41%
Al Malaab El Libby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Malaab El Libby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Malaab El Libby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Al Malaab El Libby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Malaab El Libby
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
May 30, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Al Malaab El Libby Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharif M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 36 / 100
Al Malaab El Libby 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Malaab El Libby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Malaab El Libby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asaria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Malaab El Libby conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Asaria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Malaab El Libby
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Malaab El Libby

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
17 Apr
Al Madina
1 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
13 Apr
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Al Qadisiyah
09 Apr
Asswehly
2 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al Khmes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 18 11 4 3 29:13 37
2 Al Ahly Benghazi 18 11 4 3 32:15 34
3 Al Hilal Benghazi 18 10 2 6 27:20 32
4 Al Akhdar 18 8 5 5 34:21 26
5 Al Taawun 18 7 5 6 17:22 26
6 Al Anwar 18 6 1 11 17:29 19
7 Al Sadaqa 18 4 6 8 19:24 18
8 Al Tahaddi 18 4 6 8 12:24 18
9 Al Murooj SC 18 4 5 9 18:25 17
10 Al Suqoor 18 4 4 10 16:28 16
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 20 15 3 2 29:7 48
2 Asswehly 20 9 5 6 23:14 32
3 Al Madina 20 9 4 7 21:20 31
4 Al Ittihad 20 7 10 3 21:14 28
5 Al Ittihad Misurata 20 6 8 6 23:20 26
6 Olympic Azzaweya 20 5 8 7 18:21 23
7 Abu Salim 20 4 10 6 17:22 22
8 Al Khmes 20 4 8 8 13:21 20
9 Al Malaab El Libby 20 4 7 9 16:21 19
10 Al Bashaer 20 4 7 9 15:26 19
11 Asaria 20 2 12 6 18:28 18
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)