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Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby

Libya Libya

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sharif M. A.
Assist: Salamba A.
15' Event
Kouyate M.
52' Event
Kouyate M.
Assist: Khalil M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2023/2024 game between Asaria and Al Malaab El Libby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Asaria
40%
Draws
29%
Al Malaab El Libby
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Malaab El Libby carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Al Malaab El Libby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Malaab El Libby
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
May 30, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouyate M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Al Malaab El Libby Compare

Top Goalscorer Sharif M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 32 / 100
Al Malaab El Libby 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Malaab El Libby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Asaria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Asaria remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Al Malaab El Libby has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asaria VS Al Malaab El Libby
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al-Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Malaab El Libby

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
17 Apr
Al Madina
1 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
13 Apr
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Al Qadisiyah
09 Apr
Asswehly
2 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al-Khmes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nasr18114329:1337
2Al Ahly Benghazi18114332:1534
3Al Hilal Benghazi18102627:2032
4Al Akhdar1885534:2126
5Al Taawun1875617:2226
6Al-Anwar18611117:2919
7Al Sadaqa1846819:2418
8Al Tahaddi1846812:2418
9Al Murooj SC1845918:2517
10Al-Suqoor18441016:2816
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly Tripoli20153229:748
2Asswehly2095623:1432
3Al Madina2094721:2031
4Al-Ittihad20710321:1428
5Al Ittihad Misurata2068623:2026
6Olympic Azzaweya2058718:2123
7Abu Salim20410617:2222
8Al-Khmes2048813:2120
9Al Malaab El Libby2047916:2119
10Al Bashaer2047915:2619
11Asaria20212618:2818
Relegation - Premier League 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Promotion - Premier League 2023/2024 (Championship Group)