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Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Libya Libya

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Own Goal
12' Event
Ghanodi M.
(Penalty)
74' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Asaria and Al Malaab El Libby finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Asaria
30%
Draws
41%
Al Malaab El Libby
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Malaab El Libby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Malaab El Libby come out ahead of Asaria on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Asaria Clean Sheet 20%
Al Malaab El Libby Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asaria Al Malaab El Libby
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
May 30, 2024 Premier League
Asaria vs Al Malaab El Libby
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Premier League
Al Malaab El Libby vs Asaria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asaria 36 / 100
Al Malaab El Libby 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asaria Al Malaab El Libby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Malaab El Libby Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asaria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Malaab El Libby let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Asaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Al Malaab El Libby
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asaria

(Home)
11 Apr
Asaria
2 : 1
Al Ittihad Misurata
15 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Asaria
08 Mar
Asaria
1 : 2
Abi Al Ashar
27 Feb
Al Khmes
2 : 0
Asaria
22 Feb
Asaria
2 : 2
Al Watan
Page 1 of 6

Al Malaab El Libby

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
17 Apr
Al Madina
1 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
13 Apr
Al Malaab El Libby
0 : 0
Al Qadisiyah
09 Apr
Asswehly
2 : 0
Al Malaab El Libby
16 Mar
Al Malaab El Libby
2 : 0
Al Khmes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 16 9 5 2 20:9 32
2 Al Akhdar 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Tahaddi 16 6 7 3 20:14 25
4 Khaleej Sirte 16 5 5 6 17:19 19
5 Al Suqoor 16 5 4 7 16:20 19
6 Al Anwar 16 5 4 7 18:26 19
7 Al Borouq 16 3 9 4 14:15 18
8 Al Ansar 16 4 2 10 15:26 14
9 Wefaq Ajdabiya 16 4 4 8 9:14 13
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Benghazi 14 11 1 2 31:6 34
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 14 11 1 2 30:12 34
3 Al Sadaqa 14 7 3 4 16:13 24
4 Al Taawun 14 6 4 4 19:14 22
5 Al Andalus 14 5 3 6 17:18 18
6 Al Murooj SC 14 3 3 8 14:25 12
7 Al Branes 14 2 2 10 11:28 8
8 Al Mahdia 14 1 3 10 8:30 6
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Asswehly 16 12 4 0 36:12 40
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 11 4 1 28:13 37
3 Al Ittihad 16 8 4 4 24:10 28
4 Al Majd 16 6 3 7 25:29 21
5 Shabab Al Ghar 16 4 8 4 18:18 20
6 Abu Salim 16 6 2 8 20:24 20
7 Al Bashaer 16 4 5 7 19:21 17
8 Al Tirsana 16 3 6 7 22:22 15
9 Al Nahda 16 0 0 16 5:48 -3
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 16 13 3 0 38:4 42
2 Al Madina 16 10 4 2 27:14 34
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 6 5 5 14:14 23
4 Al Watan 16 5 5 6 19:22 19
5 Al Malaab El Libby 16 3 9 4 13:15 18
6 Al Khmes 16 5 1 10 11:20 16
7 Abi Al Ashar 16 3 6 7 10:18 15
8 Al Dahra 16 3 6 7 11:22 15
9 Asaria 16 3 3 10 13:27 12
Promotion - Premier League 2024/2025 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Premier League 2024/2025 (Relegation)