Sport Picks

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Asarum vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Asarum
30%
Draws
35%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Asarum haven't matched AFC Malmo's recent run of results.
  • AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Asarum Clean Sheet 11%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asarum AFC Malmo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 1 8
Losses 22 8
Goals Scored 1.2 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs AFC Malmo
0:2
Apr 16, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
AFC Malmo vs Asarum
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asarum 18 / 100
AFC Malmo 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asarum AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asarum found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

AFC Malmo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Asarum went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS AFC Malmo
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Asarum

(Home)
15 Oct
Hassleholms IF
6 : 1
Asarum
08 Oct
Asarum
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
30 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Asarum
25 Sept
Kristianstad
1 : 4
Asarum
17 Sept
Asarum
3 : 2
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

AFC Malmo

(Away)
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)