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Asarum vs Hogsby

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Asarum in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asarum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Asarum
15%
Draws
46%
Hogsby
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hogsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Hogsby have won more games recently than Asarum.
  • Win probability leans Asarum's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Asarum Clean Sheet 10%
Hogsby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asarum Hogsby
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.18
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs Hogsby
4:2
Apr 30, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hogsby vs Asarum
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asarum 40 / 100
Hogsby 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asarum Hogsby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Asarum's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Hogsby has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Asarum stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asarum VS Hogsby
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asarum

(Home)
15 Oct
Hassleholms IF
6 : 1
Asarum
08 Oct
Asarum
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
30 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Asarum
25 Sept
Kristianstad
1 : 4
Asarum
17 Sept
Asarum
3 : 2
Osterlen FF
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Hogsby

(Away)
29 Oct
Hogsby
0 : 5
Simrishamn
22 Oct
Simrishamn
5 : 2
Hogsby
15 Oct
Rappe GOIF
1 : 3
Hogsby
08 Oct
Hogsby
1 : 1
AFC Malmo
01 Oct
IFK Hassleholm
0 : 2
Hogsby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)