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Asarum vs Karlskrona

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 game between Asarum and Karlskrona finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Karlskrona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Asarum
15%
Draws
61%
Karlskrona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karlskrona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Asarum haven't matched Karlskrona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Karlskrona's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Karlskrona here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Asarum Clean Sheet 16%
Karlskrona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asarum Karlskrona
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 7
Goals Scored 1.2 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Asarum
2:1
Jun 18, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs Karlskrona
0:3
Sep 24, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Asarum
4:0
Jun 28, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs Karlskrona
1:0
Jun 28, 2019 Division 2 - Östra Götaland
Karlskrona vs Asarum
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asarum 10 / 100
Karlskrona 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asarum Karlskrona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karlskrona Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asarum scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Karlskrona has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Asarum remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karlskrona
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Asarum

(Home)
15 Oct
Hassleholms IF
6 : 1
Asarum
08 Oct
Asarum
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
30 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Asarum
25 Sept
Kristianstad
1 : 4
Asarum
17 Sept
Asarum
3 : 2
Osterlen FF
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Karlskrona

(Away)
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 0
Oskarshamn
12 Sept
Solvesborgs
0 : 2
Karlskrona
06 Sept
Staffanstorp United
0 : 2
Karlskrona
30 Aug
Karlskrona
4 : 1
IFK Berga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)