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Asarum vs Nosaby IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 game between Asarum and Nosaby IF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nosaby IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Asarum
15%
Draws
46%
Nosaby IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nosaby IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nosaby IF's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nosaby IF here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Asarum Clean Sheet 16%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asarum Nosaby IF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs Nosaby IF
1:2
Jun 11, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Asarum
2:0
Aug 4, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Asarum vs Nosaby IF
3:4
Jun 9, 2021 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Asarum
1:1
Sep 13, 2020 Division 2 - Östra Götaland
Asarum vs Nosaby IF
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asarum 19 / 100
Nosaby IF 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asarum Nosaby IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosaby IF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Asarum found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nosaby IF conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Asarum remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nosaby IF
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Asarum

(Home)
15 Oct
Hassleholms IF
6 : 1
Asarum
08 Oct
Asarum
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
30 Sept
Karlskrona
2 : 1
Asarum
25 Sept
Kristianstad
1 : 4
Asarum
17 Sept
Asarum
3 : 2
Osterlen FF
Page 1 of 6

Nosaby IF

(Away)
26 Sept
Nosaby IF
3 : 0
Staffanstorp United
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AFC Malmo 26 15 5 6 51:24 50
2 IFK Berga 26 14 7 5 41:25 49
3 Rosengard 26 14 5 7 47:32 47
4 Hassleholms IF 26 13 5 8 58:30 44
5 Nosaby IF 26 11 7 8 34:34 40
6 Osterlen FF 26 11 5 10 38:34 38
7 Rappe GOIF 26 11 4 11 47:43 37
8 Kristianstad 26 10 7 9 41:40 37
9 IFK Hassleholm 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
10 Karlskrona 26 10 5 11 36:35 35
11 Balkan 26 8 5 13 31:47 29
12 Hogsby 26 8 4 14 31:52 28
13 Eslov 26 6 4 16 27:42 22
14 Asarum 26 6 1 19 32:76 19
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2022 (Relegation)