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ASAS vs Aigle Noir

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sudi N.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Ndayikengurukiye S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ASAS
35%
Draws
34%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aigle Noir come out ahead of ASAS on wins alone.
  • ASAS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Aigle Noir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
ASAS Clean Sheet 18%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASAS Aigle Noir
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 17
Draws 9 11
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.2 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 CAF Champions League
ASAS vs Aigle Noir
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 CAF Champions League
Aigle Noir vs ASAS
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASAS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Aigle Noir Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndayikengurukiye S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASAS 85 / 100
Aigle Noir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASAS Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASAS's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ASAS has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aigle Noir has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aigle Noir
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASAS

(Home)
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
27 Apr
Nurie Transit
0 : 2
ASAS
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
08 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Rukinzo
15 May
Aigle Noir
0 : 1
Rukinzo
09 May
Aigle Noir
1 : 0
Garage Express
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 1
ASAS 1
TBD -
Al Ahly -
Ethiopian Insurance 4
Mlandege 3
APR 0
Pyramids 5
Mogadishu City 3
Police FC 3
Jamus 0
Al-Hilal Omdurman 1
Rahimo 1
Mangasport 0
ASFAN 1
Esperance Tunis 7
Dadje 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 1
ASC Kara 2
Berkane 4
East End Lions 1
Monastir 7
Bibiani Gold Stars 0
Kabylie 7
Fundacion Bata 0
Nouadhibou 2
Tempete MOCAF 0
Stade Malien 7
Al Hilal Benghazi 1
Horoya 2
Real Banjul 1
FAR Rabat 4
Colombe 1
ASC Jaraaf 0
FC Fassell 0
MC Alger 3
Remo Stars 5
US Zilimadjou 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Simba Bhora 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 2
Gaborone Utd 1
Simba 2
Elgeco Plus 1
Silver Strikers 1
Wiliete 0
Young Africans 5
Cote d'Or 1
Stade d'Abidjan 5
Cercle De Joachim 0
Petro Atletico 6
Leopard 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Aigles du Congo 0
Rivers United 1
African Stars 0
Vipers 2
Power Dynamos 2
ASEC Mimosas 1
St Eloi Lupopo 1
Al-Merreikh 0
Lioli FC 0
Orlando Pirates 7
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Al Ahly 2
Ethiopian Insurance 1
Pyramids 3
Police FC 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman 4
Rahimo 0
Esperance Tunis 4
Al Ahly Tripoli 2
Berkane 3
Monastir 1
Kabylie 5
Nouadhibou 1
Stade Malien 3
Horoya 1
FAR Rabat 4
Colombe 1
MC Alger 1
Remo Stars 1
Mamelodi Sundowns 7
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
Simba 3
Silver Strikers 1
Young Africans 2
Stade d'Abidjan 0
Petro Atletico 4
Associacao Black Bulls 2
Rivers United 3
Vipers 2
Power Dynamos 3
St Eloi Lupopo 4
Orlando Pirates 3