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ASAS vs Gendarmerie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Djibouti Djibouti

Division 1
ASAS Logo

ASAS

3 - 1
FT
Gendarmerie Logo

Gendarmerie

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASAS in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASAS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ASAS
35%
Draws
37%
Gendarmerie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gendarmerie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASAS lately — more wins on the board than Gendarmerie.
  • Win probability leans ASAS's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ASAS Clean Sheet 20%
Gendarmerie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASAS Gendarmerie
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2025 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1
Feb 24, 2024 Division 1
Gendarmerie vs ASAS
1:1
Oct 13, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
1:0
May 5, 2023 Division 1
ASAS vs Gendarmerie
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASAS 36 / 100
Gendarmerie 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASAS Gendarmerie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASAS's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Gendarmerie conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: ASAS stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASAS VS Gendarmerie
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASAS

(Home)
12 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
ZED FC
06 Sept
ZED FC
4 : 0
ASAS
27 Sept
ASAS
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
21 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 0
ASAS
24 May
ASAS
10 : 3
Hopital
Page 1 of 7

Gendarmerie

(Away)
09 May
Gendarmerie
2 : 0
Nurie Transit
02 May
Gendarmerie
0 : 0
ASAS
25 Apr
Garde Republicaine
0 : 2
Gendarmerie
18 Apr
Gendarmerie
2 : 3
AS Arta
10 Apr
FC Arta
1 : 1
Gendarmerie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASAS 18 12 4 2 44:17 40
2 Garde-Cotes 18 10 5 3 27:12 32
3 AS Arta 18 9 4 5 27:17 31
4 Dikhil 18 8 5 5 27:19 29
5 Port 18 8 3 7 16:15 27
6 Gendarmerie 18 6 8 4 21:19 26
7 Garde Republicaine 18 6 5 7 15:18 23
8 FC Arta 18 2 7 9 21:31 13
9 Hopital 18 2 4 12 16:42 10
10 Nurie Transit 18 1 5 12 17:41 8
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)