Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2005

Eurasia Astana

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Asbest Zitikara play Eurasia Astana in the First Division 2005. Eurasia Astana are favorites here. Recently, Asbest Zitikara averaged 0.28 goals scored and 3.16 conceded. Eurasia Astana averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Asbest Zitikara won 0, Eurasia Astana won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 11, 2005 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Asbest Zitikara and 2.38 for Eurasia Astana. This points to a Eurasia Astana double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

Asbest Zitikara

15%

Draws

70%

Eurasia Astana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eurasia Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Asbest Zitikara picked up more points recently compared to Eurasia Astana.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 2.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 69%

Over 3.5 Goals 41%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Asbest Zitikara Clean Sheet 10%

Eurasia Astana Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asbest Zitikara	Eurasia Astana
Matches Played	32	24
Wins	0	9
Draws	1	4
Losses	31	11
Goals Scored	0.28	1.04
Goals Conceded	3.16	1.42

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2005 First League

Asbest Zitikara vs Eurasia Astana

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Jun 27, 2005 First League

Eurasia Astana vs Asbest Zitikara

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asbest Zitikara 16 / 100

Eurasia Astana 66 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asbest Zitikara Eurasia Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eurasia Astana Win (2)

Secondary Pick Eurasia Astana & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.7%

1.59

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Asbest Zitikara attacking → ← attacking Eurasia Astana

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asbest Zitikara scored in 25% of their last 32 games.

Eurasia Astana let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Asbest Zitikara went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Eurasia Astana lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 31

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaisar Kyzylorda	22	17	4	1	51:10	55
2	Cesna Almaty	22	17	2	3	57:16	53
3	Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty	22	14	6	2	70:23	48
4	Gornyak Khromtay	22	13	3	6	30:26	42
5	Kaspij Aktau	22	10	6	6	31:17	36
6	Ordabasy 2	22	9	4	9	40:48	31
7	Zhambyl Taraz	22	7	3	12	24:31	24
8	Munaily Atyrau	22	7	3	12	20:38	24
9	AI-Universitet	22	5	6	11	19:41	21
10	Zhastar Uralsk	22	5	3	14	21:46	18
11	Aktobe 2	22	3	3	16	26:65	12
12	Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2	22	2	3	17	14:42	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Energetik Pavlodar	24	21	3	0	109:7	66
2	Spartak Semey	24	18	5	1	76:17	59
3	Ertis Pavlodar 2	24	15	3	6	60:28	48
4	Shakhter Yunost	24	13	2	9	35:30	41
5	Ayat Rudnyi	24	11	0	13	28:40	33
6	Asbest Zitikara	24	10	3	11	30:34	33
7	Eurasia Astana	24	9	4	11	25:34	31
8	Vostok Oskemen 2	24	8	5	11	39:43	29
9	Aksu	24	7	3	14	22:43	24
10	Batyr Ekibastuz	24	6	4	14	25:52	22
11	Spartak Semey 2	24	6	3	15	23:59	21
12	Kyzylzhar Academy	24	5	4	15	20:73	19
13	Bolat	24	4	7	13	12:44	19