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ASC 09 Dortmund vs Luner SV - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Podehl M.
24' Event
Mattes K.
33' Event
Azzam M.

AI Match Summary

ASC 09 Dortmund in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASC 09 Dortmund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
ASC 09 Dortmund
15%
Draws
0%
Luner SV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASC 09 Dortmund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASC 09 Dortmund lately — more wins on the board than Luner SV.
  • Win probability leans ASC 09 Dortmund's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
ASC 09 Dortmund Clean Sheet 20%
Luner SV Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC 09 Dortmund Luner SV
Matches Played 28 10
Wins 17 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 2.54 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2023 Club Friendly
ASC 09 Dortmund vs Luner SV
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASC 09 Dortmund Compare

Top Goalscorer Podehl M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rausch F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Luner SV Compare

Top Goalscorer Mattes K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Azzam M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC 09 Dortmund 85 / 100
Luner SV 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC 09 Dortmund Luner SV

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC 09 Dortmund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASC 09 Dortmund found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Luner SV conceded in 90% of 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Luner SV's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC 09 Dortmund VS Luner SV
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC 09 Dortmund

(Home)
04 Oct
TUS Ennepetal
1 : 5
ASC 09 Dortmund
27 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
3 : 3
TuS Hordel
19 Sept
ASC 09 Dortmund
4 : 1
Lippstadt
06 Sept
Eintracht Rheine
0 : 2
ASC 09 Dortmund
30 Aug
ASC 09 Dortmund
1 : 3
Sprockhovel
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Luner SV

(Away)
04 Jul
Dortmund II
3 : 1
Luner SV
14 Jul
Homberg
3 : 0
Luner SV
15 Jul
Ahlen
2 : 1
Luner SV
05 Jul
Turkspor Dortmund
3 : 2
Luner SV
02 Jul
Dortmund II
4 : 0
Luner SV
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