Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASC HLM vs ASC Jaraaf

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
39%
ASC Jaraaf
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC Jaraaf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ASC HLM haven't matched ASC Jaraaf's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 20%
ASC Jaraaf Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM ASC Jaraaf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 18 14
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.6 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs ASC Jaraaf
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs ASC HLM
1:1
Jun 29, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs ASC Jaraaf
1:4
Feb 17, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC Jaraaf vs ASC HLM
1:2
May 22, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs ASC Jaraaf
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 32 / 100
ASC Jaraaf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM ASC Jaraaf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

ASC HLM has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

ASC HLM's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ASC Jaraaf has conceded goals in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS ASC Jaraaf
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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ASC Jaraaf

(Away)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Casa
17 May
ASC Jaraaf
3 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)