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ASC HLM vs Guediawaye - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

2 - 1
FT
Guediawaye Logo

Guediawaye

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ASC HLM in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASC HLM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
26%
Guediawaye
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC HLM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Guediawaye have won more games recently than ASC HLM.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on ASC HLM taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
Guediawaye Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM Guediawaye
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 18 8
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.6 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Guediawaye
2:1
Jan 7, 2026 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs ASC HLM
0:1
Mar 17, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Guediawaye
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs ASC HLM
0:1
Aug 14, 2011 Ligue 1
Guediawaye vs ASC HLM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 59 / 100
Guediawaye 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM Guediawaye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guediawaye has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

ASC HLM went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Guediawaye registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

ASC HLM found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS Guediawaye
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Guediawaye

(Away)
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Guediawaye
2 : 3
Wally Daan
13 May
AJEL
1 : 0
Guediawaye
10 May
Guediawaye
1 : 1
Ouakam
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)