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ASC HLM vs Mbour

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

1 - 1
FT
Mbour Logo

Mbour

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC HLM and Mbour finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
30%
Mbour
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ASC HLM and Mbour have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model gives ASC HLM a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
Mbour Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM Mbour
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 18 18
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 0.6 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Mbour
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Ligue 1
Mbour vs ASC HLM
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 50 / 100
Mbour 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM Mbour

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: ASC HLM remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: ASC HLM scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Mbour let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS Mbour
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Mbour

(Away)
04 Jun
US Goree
0 : 0
Mbour
22 May
Mbour
0 : 2
Guediawaye
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
13 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 2
Mbour
10 May
Mbour
1 : 1
Wally Daan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)