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ASC HLM vs Pikine

Senegal Senegal

Ligue 1 2025/2026
ASC HLM Logo

ASC HLM

2 - 1
FT
Pikine Logo

Pikine

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC HLM and Pikine finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASC HLM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
16%
Pikine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC HLM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pikine come out ahead of ASC HLM on wins alone.
  • Model gives ASC HLM a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
Pikine Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM Pikine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 18 13
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.6 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC HLM
0:0
Jun 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Pikine vs ASC HLM
0:0
Feb 10, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
1:1
Jul 9, 2011 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Pikine
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 68 / 100
Pikine 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM Pikine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: ASC HLM stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Pikine registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

ASC HLM's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pikine let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS Pikine
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Pikine

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
Casa
1 : 0
Pikine
13 May
Pikine
0 : 0
ASC Jaraaf
10 May
Pikine
0 : 0
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)