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ASC HLM vs Sonacos

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Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASC HLM and Sonacos finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
ASC HLM
35%
Draws
22%
Sonacos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASC HLM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASC HLM come out ahead of Sonacos on wins alone.
  • Model gives ASC HLM a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 68%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASC HLM Sonacos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 18 13
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 0.6 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC HLM
0:0
Feb 9, 2026 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Sonacos
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Sonacos
0:0
Nov 23, 2024 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs ASC HLM
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASC HLM 77 / 100
Sonacos 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASC HLM Sonacos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASC HLM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonacos let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: ASC HLM remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

ASC HLM found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASC HLM VS Sonacos
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASC HLM

(Home)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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Sonacos

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)